JP Morgan: Less Profit + More Losses = Higher Stock Price?

This is the chart showing JP Morgan’s stock price over the past few days. If you still happen to be under the impression that markets aren’t a total sham, I’d encourage you to take a look at this stock chart, alongside the headlines released while the stocks price was climbing.

JP Morgan Chase Stock Chart

 

How in the world is a company that is posting these kinds of losses, with this kind of press, pushing out a stock gain of nearly 6% since the day’s open? I would love to know what would happen to Microsoft or Apple or Oracle stock if they put out a press release headlining: “Second quarter profit dropped 8%, and one of our factories burned to the ground”.

For any “normal” company posting numbers like that, the stock price would be tanking. Who on earth is buying this?

“Free” Market

These days, I get such a kick out of watching the markets swing up and down with absolutely no grip on anything fundamental whatsoever. Alleged “good news” is for the most part a giant smokescreen, while “bad news” tends to at least have have some basis in reality. The following are two images, one taken from Google Finance on Friday June 29th, and one Friday July 7th – just a week apart. It should be no surprise to anyone that the market moves up and down – but  to do so in such an erratic and non-sensical way is, to me, a clear indicator that these markets are rigged and being yanked around by proverbial big fish.

 

Market Close, June 29 2012

 

Market Close, July 6 2012

Continuing with the same story, you might want to figure out where to buy some gold or silver, and store some of your assets outside the financial system if you want any hope of preserving your wealth in a market that is anything but “free”.

 

Athens in Flames

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At this point, I’d like to refer you to a post I wrote on June 19th, entitled Will Riots In Athens Make Vancouver Look Like A Picnic.

From the current news:

The Globe and Mail: Amid flames, Greek parliament approves crucial austerity bill.

Reuters: Athens mayhem raises fears of Greek social explosion.

Bloomberg: Rioters Burn Buildings as Greek Parliament Votes on Cuts.

I wish I had more time to write today.

Understanding The Occupy Movement

People are tremendously confused about the Occupy movement. Not only that, but people are tremendously confused in general, as they watch (and personally experience) the destruction of the middle class in North America.

Several weeks ago I was listening to the morning radio, and the hosts were both trying to get an answer as to what the Occupy movement was actually about. They hosted the organizer of the Vancouver Occupy movement to ask him some questions. He couldn’t articulate anything about the movement at all, mentioning that he was part of Zeitgeist, and nothing that he said left anyone with any clarity at all. The radio hosts at that point, asked if someone would please phone the station to explain it.

After listening a little longer and hearing them plea a few more times, I finally called the station and talked to one of the hosts for about 15 minutes, explaining what the Occupy movement was, but more importantly explaining why no one seemed to have the ability to actually explain it. At the end of our conversation she thanked me and let me know that I’d explained it better than anyone else had.

The reason why no one seems to be able to explain the occupy movement is quite simple: they have no idea what it’s about, they just know that something is wrong.

What makes things even more complicated is that the Occupy movement is about things that most people either don’t understand, or can’t be bothered to learn about.

So here it is:

1) The Occupy movement is about inflation.
2) Inflation is the result of debt.
3) Debt is the result of greed.

This is where the problem starts, because here is where the great divide between the rich and poor begins. The wealthy and the upper class are far better able to weather periods of high inflation because not only do they typically have more money, they’ve also structured their investments, their tax burdens and other financial affairs in such a way as to minimize the effect that inflation will have on them. The poor and the middle class generally don’t concern themselves with these types of things, simply choosing to rely on the financial advisor at their banking institution of choice to make sure that they’re mutual funds are performing admirably. This is where even the simplest understanding of inflation might help you make smarter financial decisions. I will digress for one moment…

The current advertised rate of inflation in Canada is 2.8961% (in reality it’s much higher, but let’s amuse ourselves by using the government’s official numbers). The current interest being paid on a savings account from ING Direct is 1.5%. Therefore, if you currently have savings in an ING Direct savings account, you are losing money. Your purchasing power is being eroded. Unless you find an investment vehicle or savings account that is going to pay you more than 2.8961% after taxes, the purchasing power of money in this account will eventually become zero. OK, back to the topic at hand…

The divide between the 1% and the 99%. James turk was recently quoted as saying that the current economic situation “is a crisis not of capitalism but of socialism, unaffordable entitlements”.

That’s only half true.

This worldwide economic crisis is a tale of two greeds. It is the greed of the wealthy and powerful, and it is the greed of the poor, middle class and non-powerful. Until you realize that the fault lies with both groups, you don’t have the ability to comment reliably on the situation.

The problem lies with greedy capitalists who pay their employees so little that a working couple can barely keep food on the table for their family.

The problem lies with lazy socialists who believe that simply because they have a degree, the world owes them $100K salary and all the benefits and entitlements one can imagine.

The problem lies with a corrupt banking system that educates and cajoles people to believe that investing in mutual funds, the stock market, RRSPs and 401Ks is just “the way you save for retirement”.

The problem lies with lazy, financially illiterate masses who are foolish enough to not educate themselves around the ideas of money, finances and investing, and gullibly throw their life’s savings into a stock market that is manipulated by the elite to further their own agendas.

The problem lies with over-regulated bureaucratic governments, lobbyists that have far too much power, and things like military spending and entitlement programs that are out of control.

This is a tale of TWO greeds, not ONE. I don’t believe that people are entitled to huge salaries and benefits without contributing anything to society, and I don’t believe that people are entitled to take advantage of and exploit the poor and middle class simply because they’re wealthy and powerful enough to do so. There has to be a middle ground.

The Occupy movement should, in fact, be about finding that middle ground. Unfortunately, in the case of Vancouver, it seemed to become more of a place for homeless to congregate, people to shoot up with heroin and push the agenda of Zeitgeist, orphan kittens and why we should all be vegans.

So I ask you, before you start contributing your agenda and opinions about the Occupy movement, please get educated. Read something about currency, inflation, the history of money, government bond auctions. Get educated. Learn about mutual funds and investing and make some decisions about whether investing in the stock market is really the best way to save for your retirement. Get educated. Turn off your television, stop paying for cable and read some books about economics. Get educated. Stop whining about what the world owes you. Get educated. Stop yelling at people out your car window telling them to get a job. Get educated.

If you read this as a capitalist and want to call me socialist-loving scum, don’t bother. I’ve started several businesses, some successful and some not. I’m striving to be on the upper edge of the middle class, and maybe one day the upper class because I love building businesses. I love employing people and I love contributing to the community. What I don’t love is the greed and the corruption that comes from the stereotypical desire for more at the expense of someone else, the pandering to shareholders who desire profit above all else.

If you read this as a socialist and want to call me capitalist-loving scum, don’t bother. I probably grew up poorer than you. I grew up in the woods without heat or a toilet in our house, and a piece of plywood with hinges on it as our front door. I’ve lived in a trailer park watching heroin addicts pawn their 13-year old daughter off as a prostitute so they could buy more drugs, all the while sucking away entitlements and manipulating the system so that taxpayers paid for their habits. I’ve watched several people milk the welfare system all the while dealing drugs and earning tons of cash under the table. Unfortunately, the attitudes of most of the socialists I know come across as supportive of this type of a system.

Don’t forget, this economic crisis is a tale of two greeds. Figure out which side you’ve been hanging out on, and figure out what changes you need to make in your life to meet in the middle.

Got questions? Want to rant? email hidden; JavaScript is required.

Turk and Sprott: A Summary

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If you haven’t watched James Turk’s interview with Eric Sprott – you need to. Just spend the 30 minutes to watch it. If you absolutely can’t – here’s a brief takeaway.

They acknowledge the fact that at some future date, gold could become overvalued. Turk goes on to ask Sprott – “what would make you sell?”

Sprott’s response is that he would sell under three conditions:

  1. If he sees a mania in the market (e.g. Nasdaq circa 2000)
  2. If governments and central banks become responsible (fat chance)
  3. If it becomes the reserve currency.

Sprott goes on to note that the probability of a mania in gold is very high. Interest in the metal is building all around the world. But we’re not there yet.

For the silver lovers out there, Sprott does not disappoint – going on to claim that, in his opinion, silver today is what he would consider a very safe investment.

I still believe that an investment in silver is a very safe investment today. When we look at the data points, they scream at us that it’s undervalued. -Eric Sprott

Enjoy the interview.

Unemployment Creates… Jobs?

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In what could be the stupidest statement ever given by Jay Carney (AKA Propaganda Minister) – I introduce to you a modern day miracle:

[Unemployment insurance benefits are] one of the most direct ways to infuse money directly into the economy because people who are unemployed and obviously aren’t running a paycheck are going to spend the money that they get. They’re not going to save it, they’re going to spend it. And with unemployment insurance, that way, the money goes directly back into the economy, dollar for dollar virtually. Continue Reading…

Some Market Charts

Some strange stuff in gold / silver that I don’t quite recall seeing before… gold up about 3.5% and silver down about 3.5%.

Gold Up

Silver Down

US Indexes Dying

Happy to not be long US equities, but sad that Canadian mining equities also seem to be tanking.

London Riots

london-riot

Starting off with a quote from Mish:

While the trigger may be a deadly shooting by police, I believe the cause is social-breakdown fueled by rising unemployment, loss of dignity, and a desperate realization that hope for a better future and for government to do something responsible about jobs and rising food prices is fruitless. (emphasis mine) Continue Reading…

Detailed Examination of Problems Solved by the ‘Debt Deal’

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Oh wait – the answer is ‘none’.

The very notion that this ‘deal’ has somehow done anything, other than than, well, nothing – is laughable, despite what folks at Reuters would have you believe with headlines that look like this:

The United States is poised to step back from the brink of economic disaster on Tuesday when a bitterly fought deal to cut the budget deficit is expected to clear its final hurdles.

Maybe someone should clue them in that there hasn’t been a “step back” from anything. The U.S. is still bankrupt. None of the so-called budget cuts and fat-trimming can or will do anything to ultimately save the fattened whale from $100-odd-trillion in unfunded liabilities. Maybe they were able to quickly hang up another sheet to keep the naked king hidden a little longer, but other than that, this deal means exactly one thing: nothing.

A friend down South referred to the whole ordeal as “nothing more than nauseating political theatre” – and I would tend to agree.

Following the so called deal, one could’ve expected soaring (or at least recovering) stock markets and a drop in the gold price, and yet here we are on Tuesday morning with gold eclipsing another all-time high (denominated in $USD) surpassing $1640 / oz. I imagine we’ll see a bit of a correction sometime today, but I doubt it’ll come from the real investors.

In the mean-time, those in the know (also known as “those who don’t have their head crammed in the sand”) can continue to wait for whatever is coming, chuckling with the incredulous disbelief that the charade continues.

Hyperconsuming the stuff of idle, yawning luxury…

From a recent post at HBR:

The super-rich, whose gains reflect little social value creation, have gotten richer — and are hyperconsuming the stuff of idle, yawning luxury with an appetite that makes Caligula look like a blushing bride.

Aptly said. The super-rich, adding near-zero value to society, consume with an insatiable appetite, as the middle class slowly dwindle into a relic of the past. Change is coming…

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